10/22/2026
☀️ The Sun may play a small role in triggering earthquakes on Earth, and researchers think heat could be part of the connection...
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☀️ The Sun may play a small role in triggering earthquakes on Earth, and researchers think heat could be part of the connection.
Earthquakes are driven mainly by tectonic forces. Stress builds along faults until rocks suddenly slip. But scientists have long wondered whether smaller environmental effects can push an already stressed fault closer to failure.
A 2025 study tested whether solar heating could be one of those effects.
Researchers combined records of sunspot activity, surface temperatures and earthquakes. When temperature was added to their forecasting models, predictions improved, particularly for shallow earthquakes.
The proposed mechanism starts at Earth's surface.
Changes in solar heating alter atmospheric temperatures. That can affect rock properties and influence rainfall, snowmelt and underground water movement.
These changes can slightly modify pressure and stress in the upper crust. Rocks may become more prone to fracturing, while changes in water pressure can alter forces acting on faults.
This fits with the result that the strongest improvement appeared for shallow earthquakes, where temperature and hydrological changes should matter most.
The researchers also found seasonal variations in seismicity and timing relationships between solar activity and earthquakes consistent with delayed heat transfer through Earth's surface environment.
But this does not mean solar flares directly cause major earthquakes.
The effect appears small compared with tectonic stress, and the proposed Sun-earthquake connection remains debated. Other studies have failed to find a consistent global relationship between solar activity and earthquakes.
For now, the work suggests solar heat may act as one of many subtle triggers on faults close to slipping, rather than being a primary cause.
📃 RESEARCH PAPER
📌 Junqueira Saldanha et al., “The role of solar heat in earthquake activity,” Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science (2025)